

Build a risk matrix that communicates risk without oversimplifying

Explain uncertainty by visualising the Strength of Knowledge behind your risk assessment

Run a simulation to see how likely certain outcomes are

My Duolingo streak just passed 1102 days. That’s three years of daily Norwegian practice without breaking the chain (with some help from streak freezes though). As with every app nowadays, Duolingo provided me with a 2025 review. The Numbers According…

Modern risk definitions recognise that risk isn’t just about probability and consequence; it fundamentally involves uncertainty. This uncertainty can be operationalised through probability (P) and the Strength of Knowledge (SoK) assessments. Within the industry, a risk definition including an aspect…

When I moved to Norway three-ish years ago, I quickly learned that understanding geography here means more than just looking at the distance between two points. Because of fjords, mountains, ferries, and tunnels, the shortest distance between two points is…

“Must have experience with Monte Carlo simulation.” I see this line often in risk management job postings. It appears in course descriptions, textbooks, and LinkedIn skill endorsements. Yet, few people actually understand what’s happening. I get it. The mathematics can…
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